With the announcement that Alex Smith will be traded to Kansas City for a 2nd draft pick this year, and conditional 2nd or 3rd round pick in 2014, the sports world is ablaze with what the 49ers next move(s) will be.
Where the 49ers are at;
They officially have 11 picks as of 3/1/13. Once Smith is officially traded (March 12th) the 49ers will have another 2nd round pick, 12 total. Then around the end of March or beginning of April the NFL will announce the compensatory picks for teams that lost free agents. The 49ers expect 3 picks with one being in either the 3rd or 4th round and the other two being 7th rounders. The total expected picks for the 2013 draft are 15!
Possible scenario's;
49ers trade draft picks for Darrelle Revis
Rumors that are swirling focus mainly around NY Jets CB Darrelle Revis. It is widely believed that the Jets are making Revis available in a trade due to their lack of salary cap room and the high salary that Revis is expected to demand after the 2013 season. Reports are that Revis will want to be the HIGHEST PAID defensive player in the NFL, a number that will start around 17 million.
Why I don't like Revis and 49ers deal;
Revis missed the majority of last year with a knee injury, he has questionable locker-room presence because of his ego as evidenced with demanding to be the highest paid NFL defensive player, and he wants top money after 2013. The 49ers just don't need this and it is not their style to go after veteran players who demand big money. I also don't like the idea of giving up a huge number of picks for a guy that might possibly only be around for 1 season. The 49ers have rebuilt through the draft and have done a good job so far, I don't think they should stray from that formula.
49ers trade draft picks for Percy Harvin
Another rumor is the 49ers trading for Vikings WR Percy Harvin. Like Revis it is widely believed that Harvin is going to demand big money after the 2013 season when his contract is up. Harvin would bring a deep threat ability to the 49ers and fill the need for a dangerous kickoff and punt return specialist.
Why I don't like Harvin and 49ers deal;
Much of the same reasons as Revis; money, ego, and loss of picks. The 49ers would be gambling that Harvin would be able to be resigned after 2013, which is no guarantee, especially if he proves to be a key piece to a Super Bowl winning team.
49ers trade ALL draft picks for BOTH Revis and Harvin
In both Revis and Harvin trades it would be expected that the Niners would still have a decent amount of picks left to draft with, but if they were to deal for both players then they would have very little picks left that would most assuredly be late picks.
Why I don't like a Revis & Harvin deal;
As stated above I'm not wild about the 49ers taking on these players individually over drafting younger, cheaper players, so surely I am not wild about the 49ers giving up almost all their picks to obtain these two veterans.
49ers stay put with all their picks and draft 15 rookies in the 2013 draft
If you look back at the 49ers recent draft history then you'll see that the team has not been shy about wheeling and dealing on draft day.
Why I don't like (or believe) this will happen;
The 49ers have been willing to move up AND move down, as well as trade away picks for future selections in past drafts there is no reason to think that they will suddenly stop this pattern. 15 rookies in camp would NOT all make the team, the 49ers simply don't need to add this many players to a team that is already solid.
49ers wheel and deal during the 2013 draft moving up and obtaining future picks
In this scenario I have the 49ers moving up and getting future picks. Why? With a strong class of safeties, corners, defensive linemen and tight-ends the 49ers could afford to give up multiple picks to move up higher and get the best prospects available at the positions they desire. It should also be mentioned that some experts expect next years draft to be very deep as well, giving value to a team that might simply trade picks this year for next years picks.
Why I like this;
Most people will agree that the 49ers can't use 15 rookies on a team that has approximately 18 starters returning next year from an NFC Championship team. I put so much stock in the 49ers draft picks for one reason and one reason only; this 49ers front office has proven to be excellent talent evaluator's. Remember that Trent Baalke has been with the organization since 2005. In his time with the team the 49ers have had solid draft classes. With that in mind, along with the great reputation Harbaugh has for eyeing talent I think it is essential for the 49ers to fill their roster with prospects and then pepper in free-agents that are willing to play for less money.
The 49ers could possibly go another route but right now these are the most possible scenario's that are logical. If there is one guarantee that I can make about what the 49ers will do in the coming months it's that they will not stay pat with 15 picks in 2013, so expect movement or deals of some kind. I think it should also be noted that this front office staff is not shooting from the hip, they have a plan for what they're going to do. We just have to wait and see what that plan is.
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